Blackjack Odds

We all know casino games are games of odds. But, do we understand the odds? In this article we are going to go through Blackjack odds which will help you understand more about the game. With a full understanding of blackjack odds, you will be able to focus on implementing the basic blackjack strategy.

Introduction To Blackjack odds

By understanding the odds in a game of blackjack you can increase your understanding of the overall game. Knowing the chances of being dealt certain cards or combinations of cards and understanding why the casino has the edge that it does, will help you to understand the best way to play the game. The casino odds in a game of blackjack can be as high as 7%-8%. The good news for the player is that you are able to reduce the house edge down to as low as 0.5% by playing with optimal strategies. Read on to learn how you can maximize your chances by reducing the house odds.

Why Does the House have Such a High Advantage

The house advantage is due to the fact that the dealer plays his hand after all the players have already played. The dealer has very strict rules of when he can hit and when he must stand.

Due to the fact that many players will already have gone bust before the dealer plays, he is really only playing against those players who are left. And those players who bust lose their money immediately irrespective of whether the dealer busts or not.

The Odds of Going Bust

The aim of the game of blackjack is to beat the dealer. To do this, you need to achieve a hand of 21or as close to 21 as possible without going over (going “bust”) and have a higher hand total than the dealer. It is therefore very important to understand the odds of you going bust if you take another card (“hit”). The odds of you going bust decrease the lower your total hand value is. If you are holding a hand total of 20 and you hit, the odds of you going bust are 92%, whereas if you are holding a total hand value of 12, the odds of you going bust if you hit are 31%. It is generally recommended to stand on 16 or 17. If you hit on 16, the odds of going bust are 62% and if you hit on 17, the odds of you going bust are 69%.

For more advanced information on this, have a look at our advanced blackjack strategy section.

The Odds of the Dealer’s Final Hand

In order to make an informed decision of whether you should hit or stand, it is also important to understand the odds of the dealer achieving certain totals. The highest probability (at 28.36%) is of the dealer achieving a hand total of 16. This means that if you have a hand total of 15 or less, the odds are high that the dealer will beat you. The odds of the dealer achieving 21 (with 3 cards or more) is 7.36%.

Also important to know is that if the dealer’s up-card is a 5 or a 6, the odds of him going bust are more than 40%. If the player uses basic strategy for these up-cards, the player advantage is over 23%. By understanding the odds for all the possibilities it will help you to make a more informed decision of what action to take and this will in turn decrease the house advantage and increase the player’s odds. Many players ask us about splitting hands and doubling down in blackjack, which are popular articles available on our site.